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| Written by TFP |
| Saturday, 21 March 2009 22:26 |
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There are only five things more dangerous than Spring Training stats:
Last spring we were bullish on Yunel Escobar stock. As it turned out, Escobar was nothing more than a Cuban Craig Counsel. On the other hand, drafters who gambled on Josh Hamilton got paid. Players who had huge Springs in 2008 included Andre Ethier, Micah Hoffpauir, Connor Jackson, Pedro Feliz, Jose Cruz, Chris Snyder, Edison Volquez, John Maine, Andrew Miller and Ryan Dempster. As you can see, psychoanalyzing Spring Training stats is a risk/reward proposition. With that said, here are some players whose tantalizing Cactus and Grapefruit performances might result in increased draft day buzz.
Arizona Being overworked for the last three years might be catching up with Brandon Webb. Captain Control’s K:BB is 8/4 and his ERA is over 7. Atlanta Derek Lowe (ADP: 164) has struck out 17 batters in 16 IP. Baltimore In the race to see who closes for the 63-win Orioles, we think Chris Ray (0.00 ERA in 7 appearances) has a distinct advantage over George Sherrill (3.60, 3 BB, 4 SO). Boston Post-hype breakout candidate Clay Buchholtz has 12 SO in 13 IP. Chicago Cubs Shawn Marshall has posted a 0.63 ERA with 8 SO in 14 innings. Chicago White Sox Gavin Floyd (13 SO in 15 IP) and John Danks (17 SO in 17 IP) continue to fly under the radar. Cincinnati Joey Votto (.308) is one smooth Canadian. We’re pretty sure he could hit .300 wearing snowshoes. Where have you gone, Aaron Harang (7.24, 6 SO, 4 BB)? Cleveland Who closes once Kerry Wood’s arm detonates? Jensen Lewis (0.00, 6 SO, 1 BB) is Wood’s likely successor. Colorado Carlos Gonzalez (.200), playing with his third team in three years, doesn’t seem to be leapfrogging Ian Stewart or Seth Smith for playing time in LF. What’s the name of the elixir Aaron Cook (1.93, 15 SO in 14 IP) has been drinking and can we get some? Detroit Sorry Edwin Jackson (7.00, 8 SO, 6 BB), you’re not for reeeeeeeal. Florida Leo Nunez (7.20 and ZERO career saves) figures to inherit closer role with Matt Lindstrom nursing busted wing but you really want to hitch your wagon to that horse? Houston Further proof none of these Spring Training stats amount to a hill of beans: Russ Ortiz has a 3.63 ERA with 12 SO in 17 IP. Yes, that Russ Ortiz. Kansas City Speaking of homer happy Royals, Mark Teahen also has 5 HR. And he’s projected to play 2B this year. Cha-ching. Los Angeles Angels Dustin Moseley is rocking a 2.57 ERA with 12 SO in 14 IP. He looks like a lock to make the Angels’ rotation. Remember, Joe Saunders made the All-Star team in 2008… Los Angeles Dodgers Hiroki Kuroda (.075 in 12 IP) is scheduled to pitch Opening Day against the Braves. He’s a nice late-round steal but don’t expect much in the way of strikeouts. Milwaukee Dude we wish we had on every team: Yo Yo Gallardo (14 SO in 13 IP). Minnesota Scottie Baker’s line (8.31, 8 HRA) gives us night terrors. New York Mets This just in: John Maine (10.38, 10 SO, 7 BB, 13 IP) still blows. New York Yankees Perhaps we’ve been too hard on Joba Chamberlain (11:1 SO/BB in 10 IP). Oakland Grab Gio Gonzalez (8 SO in 8 IP) as a late-round lottery ticket. Philadelphia Pittsburgh Paul Maholm (.046, 12 SO, 1 BB, 19 IP) is a man amongst soon-to-be-AAA boys. San Diego San Francisco Drafting Matt Cain (21 HA, 15 SO in 16 IP) could take years off of your life. Seattle Tyler Walker (5.79) and Mark Lowe (16 HA, 2 SO, 4 BB) have something in common: Neither should be closing for a Major League team. St. Louis Jason Motte (13 SO in 8 IP) looks like a star in the making. Tampa Bay Texas Chris Davis, whose ADP (75 and climbing) would suggest he’s kind of a big deal, leads the world in Spring Training Ks (18) and has just 1 HR and 2 RBI. Buyer beware. Toronto Just wondering… In a 12-team league with 24-man rosters, does another Blue Jays starter get taken after Doc Halladay? Jessie Litsch? Gross. Washington By now, someone close to you has fallen ass-over-head in love with Jordan Zimmerman (20 SO in 14 IP). It’s a nice story but how much upside does the Nationals’ No. 5 starter have, really?
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